Mohamed A.R. Soliman, Hendrick Francois, Alexander O. Aguirre, Asham Khan, Waeel Hamouda, Stipe Ćorluka, Zorica Buser, Samuel K. Cho, S. Tim Yoon, AO Spine Knowledge Forum Degenerative
Neurospine 2026;23(1):42-58. Published online January 31, 2026
Objective Lumbar discectomy is one of the most frequently undertaken procedures for the management of lumbar disc herniation. However, it may be complicated by recurrent disc herniation, with reported rates as high as 25%. To the authors’ knowledge, this study is the largest systematic review to date, analyzing the clinical and radiographic risk factors for recurrent disc herniation.
Methods A systematic literature search of Embase and PubMed/Medline, covering the period from inception to October 1, 2025, was conducted to identify case-control or cohort studies reporting risk factors for recurrent disc herniation. Risk factors were classified into baseline, clinical, and radiographic risk factors. Meta-analysis was performed for any reported risk factor with data from 3 or more studies. The assessment included an evaluation of publication bias and heterogeneity.
Results A total of 51 studies published during the search timeframe, comprising 52,479 patients, met the inclusion criteria. Recurrent disc herniation occurred in 6,794 patients (12.9%). Significant risk factors for disc herniation included high body mass index (BMI) (standard mean difference [SMD], 0.48; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.26–0.70), diabetes (odds ratio [OR], 1.48; 95% CI, 1.23–1.77), increased sagittal range of motion (SMD, 2.15; 95% CI, 0.35–3.94), and Modic changes (OR, 2.97; 95% CI, 2.20–4.01). No other significant predictors for recurrent disc herniation were identified.
Conclusion In conclusion, patients with high BMI, diabetics, increased sagittal range of motion, and presence of Modic changes are at increased risk of recurrent disc herniation. Future prospective studies are needed to validate the risk factors identified in this study associated with recurrent disc herniation.
Objective To compare the long-term clinical and radiographic outcomes of transforaminal endoscopic lumbar discectomy (TELD) versus microdiscectomy (MD).
Methods The data of 154 patients with lumbar disc herniation (LDH) who underwent TELD (n = 89) or MD (n = 65) were retrospectively analyzed. The patients’ clinical outcomes were evaluated using visual analogue scales for leg and low back pain, the Japanese Orthopaedic Association (JOA) score, and the Oswestry Disability Index (ODI). The evolution of radiographic manifestations was observed during follow-up. Potential risk factors for a poor clinical outcome were investigated.
Results During a mean follow-up of 5.5 years (range, 5–7 years), the recurrence rate was 4.49% in the TELD group and 1.54% in the MD group. All scores significantly improved from preoperatively to postoperatively in both groups (p < 0.01). The improvement in the ODI and JOA scores was significantly greater in the TELD than MD group (p < 0.05). Forty-seven patients (52.8%) in the TELD group and 32 (49.2%) in the MD group had Modic changes before surgery, most of which showed no changes at the last follow-up. The degeneration grades of 292 discs (71.0%) were unchanged at the last follow-up, while 86 (20.9%) showed improvement, mostly at the upper adjacent segment. No significant difference was observed in the intervertebral height index or paraspinal muscle-disc ratio.
Conclusion Both TELD and MD provide generally satisfactory long-term clinical outcomes for patients with LDH. TELD can be used as a reliable alternative to MD with less surgical trauma. Modic type II changes, decreased preoperative intervertebral height, and a high body mass index are predictors of a poor prognosis.
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