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Original Article
Minimally Invasive Spine Surgery

Distinct Recovery Patterns After Transforaminal Lumbar Interbody Fusion: Comparing Minimally Invasive and Open Approaches Using Mixed-Effects Segmented Regression

Neurospine 2025;22(1):3-13.
Published online: March 31, 2025

1Hospital for Special Surgery, New York, NY, USA

2Weill Cornell Medical College New York, NY, USA

Corresponding Author Sheeraz A. Qureshi Hospital for Special Surgery, 535 E 70th St., New York, NY 10021, USA Email: sheerazqureshimd@gmail.com
• Received: January 19, 2025   • Revised: February 28, 2025   • Accepted: March 3, 2025

Copyright © 2025 by the Korean Spinal Neurosurgery Society

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Citations

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  • Multifidus Muscle Atrophy Predicts Spinal Cage Subsidence After Lumbar Fusion
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    Chen Liu, Zhengguang Li, Yongbo Zhang, Tianyi Ji, Hua Sun, Gen Wei, Liang Zhang, Juqun Xi
    Advanced Healthcare Materials.2026;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Modified Integrated Health State Suggests Lower Cumulative Neck Pain–Related Disability After Cervical Disk Replacement Compared With Anterior Cervical Diskectomy and Fusion
    Tomoyuki Asada, Adin M. Ehrlich, Sereen Halayqeh, Eric R. Zhao, Adrian T. H. Lui, Andrea Pezzi, Austin C. Kaidi, Kasra Araghi, Vishaal Nayagam, Roger Freeman, Olivia C. Tuma, Tarek Harhash, Harvinder S. Sandhu, Todd J. Albert, Han Jo Kim, James C. Farmer,
    Neurosurgery.2026;[Epub]     CrossRef
  • Efficacy of low-dose Escherichia coli-derived recombinant human bone morphogenetic protein-2 in minimally invasive transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion
    Tae Hoon Kang, Jeongwoon Han, Minjoon Cho, Jae Hyup Lee
    European Spine Journal.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef

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Distinct Recovery Patterns After Transforaminal Lumbar Interbody Fusion: Comparing Minimally Invasive and Open Approaches Using Mixed-Effects Segmented Regression
Neurospine. 2025;22(1):3-13.   Published online March 31, 2025
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Distinct Recovery Patterns After Transforaminal Lumbar Interbody Fusion: Comparing Minimally Invasive and Open Approaches Using Mixed-Effects Segmented Regression
Neurospine. 2025;22(1):3-13.   Published online March 31, 2025
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Distinct Recovery Patterns After Transforaminal Lumbar Interbody Fusion: Comparing Minimally Invasive and Open Approaches Using Mixed-Effects Segmented Regression
Image Image Image Image Image Image Image
Fig. 1. Overall ODI recovery trajectory. The blue line represents the overall ODI recovery trajectory estimated using preliminary segmented regression analysis. This analysis identified 4 distinct phases: postoperative disability phase (PDP, up to day 11), early improvement phase (EIP, days 11–30), late improvement phase (LIP, days 30–76), and plateau phase (PP, day 76 onwards). These phases were used to develop mixed-effects models for between-group comparisons. Multiple R2=0.27; Adjusted R2=0.26. ODI, Oswestry Disability Index; β, regression coefficient (slope, points/day).
Fig. 2. Overall NRS back pain recovery trajectory. The blue line represents the overall NRS back pain recovery trajectory estimated using segmented regression analysis. This analysis identified 2 distinct phases: improvement phase (IP, up to day 27) and plateau phase (PP, day 27 onwards). These phases were used to develop mixed-effects models for between-group comparisons. Multiple R2=0.28; Adjusted R2=0.28. NRS, Numerical Rating Scale; β, regression coefficient (slope, points/ day).
Fig. 3. Overall NRS leg pain recovery trajectory. The blue line represents the overall NRS leg pain recovery trajectory estimated using segmented regression analysis. This analysis identified three distinct phases: early improvement phase (EIP, up to day 12), late improvement phase (LIP, days 12–79) and plateau phase (PP, day 79 onwards). These phases were used to develop mixed-effects models for between-group comparisons. These phases were used to develop mixed-effects models for between-group comparisons. Multiple R2=0.27; Adjusted R2=0.27. NRS, Numerical Rating Scale; β, regression coefficient (slope, points/day).
Fig. 4. Comparison of ODI recovery trajectories between MIS and open TLIF. This figure displays the postoperative ODI recovery trajectories for patients undergoing MIS and open TLIF. The blue and red lines represent the estimated mean ODI scores over time for the MIS and open groups, respectively, derived from segmented regression analysis. Individual patient data points are shown as translucent blue (MIS) and red (open) circles. The vertical dashed lines indicate the identified breakpoints defining the 4 distinct recovery phases: postoperative disability phase (PDP, up to day 13), early improvement phase (EIP, days 13–28), late improvement phase (LIP, days 28–110), and plateau phase (PP, day 110 onwards). The MIS group demonstrated a significantly less pronounced worsening of disability during the PDP and significantly lower ODI scores at the end of the PDP (day 13) compared to the open group. While the open group showed a steeper initial increase in ODI during PDP, there were no significant differences in the slopes of improvement (rate of change) during the EIP, LIP, or PP between the 2 groups. Because separate regression lines were fitted within each phase, the lines are not smoothly connected at the breakpoints. This reflects the distinct rate of change in ODI scores observed across the different recovery phases. ODI, Oswestry Disability Index; MIS, minimally invasive; TLIF, transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion.
Fig. 5. Comparison of back pain recovery trajectories between MIS and open TLIF. A mixed-effects model identified a breakpoint between the improvement phase (IP) and plateau phase (PP) at day 26.7±2.6 for the MIS group (blue line), while the open approach (red line) reached it at day 51.7±6.6, showing that MIS recovery was faster by 25 days (p<0.001). Patient data points are shown as translucent blue (MIS) and red (open) circles. Marginal R2=0.61; Conditional R2=0.78 for overall model. MIS, minimally invasive; TLIF, transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion; NRS, Numerical Rating Scale.
Fig. 6. Comparison of leg pain recovery trajectories between MIS and open TLIF. A mixed-effects model found a breakpoint between the improvement and plateau phases at day 19.6±1.7 for the MIS group (blue line) and day 8.9±4.6 for the open approach (red line), indicating that MIS recovery was 10 days faster (p=0.031). Adjusting for baseline leg pain, there were no significant differences in breakpoint (MIS 20.3±1.7 vs. open 9.8±5.3, p=0.06). Patient data points are shown as translucent blue (MIS) and red (open) circles. Marginal R2=0.66; Conditional R2=0.73 for overall model. The adjusted p-value was calculated using a model that accounts for preoperative NRS leg scores. MIS, minimally invasive; TLIF, transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion; NRS, Numerical Rating Scale.
Graphical abstract
Distinct Recovery Patterns After Transforaminal Lumbar Interbody Fusion: Comparing Minimally Invasive and Open Approaches Using Mixed-Effects Segmented Regression
Variable MIS (n = 268) Open (n = 56) p-value
Age (yr) 60.0 ± 13.1 57.6 ± 17.7 0.24
Male sex 139 (51.9) 26 (46.4) 0.55
Race 0.69
 White 222 (82.8) 43 (76.8)
 Black 16 (6.0) 5 (8.9)
 Asian 6 (2.2) 1 (1.8)
 Other 24 (9.0) 7 (12.5)
BMI (kg/m2) 27.9 ± 6.0 27.7 ± 5.8 0.83
Smoking 91 (34.0) 22 (39.3) 0.54
Depression mood 40 (15.2) 8 (15.7) 1.00
CCI
 0 98 (37.3) 15 (29.4) 0.13
 1 83 (31.6) 24 (47.1)
 2 43 (16.3) 8 (15.7)
 3 22 (8.4) 4 (7.8)
 ≥4 17 (6.5) 0 (0.0)
LOS (hr) 45.0 ± 31.0 66.4 ± 36.3 < 0.001*
Preoperative
 ODI 41.9 ± 15.3 41.5 ± 13.7 0.85
 NRS back 6.2 ± 2.6 6.1 ± 2.7 0.70
 NRS leg 6.0 ± 2.9 5.0 ± 3.0 0.027*
Variable Estimate (β) SE t-value p-value
Preoperative ODI (intercept)
 MIS 41.9 0.9 44.9 < 0.001
 Difference from open -0.2 2.2 -0.1 0.92
 Open 41.6 2.0 20.5 < 0.001
Slope before breaking point
 MIS 0.93 0.54 1.72 0.09
 Difference from open 0.48 0.18 2.70 0.008*
 Open 1.42 0.56 2.53 0.012
Breaking point (day) 13.4 3.0
Variable Estimate (β) SE t-value p-value
ODI at the starting point (intercept)
 MIS 49.3 2.5 19.9 < 0.001
 Difference from open 11.2 3.8 3.0 0.003*
 Open 60.5 2.0 29.8 < 0.001
Slope before breaking point
 MIS -1.07 0.39 -2.73 0.007
 Difference from open -0.14 0.08 -1.76 0.08
 Open -1.21 0.56 -2.16 0.032
Breaking point (day) 28.4 5.2
Variable Estimate (β) SE t-value p-value
ODI at the starting point (intercept)
 MIS 32.1 1.2 27.2 < 0.001
 Difference from open 4.0 2.5 1.6 0.11
 Open 36.1 2.0 17.8 < 0.001
Slope before breaking point
 MIS -0.17 0.02 -8.30 < 0.001
 Difference from open -0.01 0.01 -0.93 0.35
 Open -0.18 0.58 -0.32 0.75
Breaking point (day) 110.2 8.3
Table 1. Patient demographic

Values are presented as mean±standard deviation or number (%).

MIS, minimally invasive surgery; BMI, body mass index; CCI, Charlson Comorbidity Index; LOS, length of hospital stay; ODI, Oswestry Disability Index; NRS, Numerical Rating Scale.

p<0.05, statistically significant differences.

Table 2. Fixed-effects of mixed-effect segmented regression model from preoperative to day 30

SE, standard error; ODI, Oswestry Disability Index; MIS, minimally invasive surgery.

Marginal R2=0.61, Conditional R2=0.78.

The intercept represents the ODI value at the initial point in this model (preoperative timepoint).

p<0.05, statistically significant differences.

Values were calculated from the model output and the variance-covariance matrix of the fixed effects.

Table 3. Fixed-effects of mixed-effect segmented regression model from day 13 to 80

SE, standard error; ODI, Oswestry Disability Index; MIS, minimally invasive surgery.

Marginal R2=0.35, Conditional R2=0.76.

The intercept represents the ODI value at the initial point in this model (day 13).

p<0.05, statistically significant differences.

Values were calculated from the model output and the variance-covariance matrix of the fixed effects.

Table 4. Fixed effects of the mixed-effect segmented regression model from day 28 onwards

SE, standard error; ODI, Oswestry Disability Index; MIS, minimally invasive surgery.

The intercept represents the ODI value at the initial point in this model (day 28).

Marginal R2=0.29, Conditional R2=0.82.

Values were calculated from the model output and the variancecovariance matrix of the fixed effects.